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The Short List · Broward CountySampleTuesday, 7am

No. 01, week of September 29, Fort Lauderdale North.

Seven targets in Fort Lauderdale North this week.

Four sit outside the flood zone and two are close to the flood cap.

Max offers run $289k to $571k.

Every sheet assumes an 8-month hold, hard money at 10% and 1.5 points, and a profit of 10% of ARV (about 12% on cost).

Every Tuesday at 7am, to no more than three seats per area.

A sample week's 7 targets in Fort Lauderdale North, plotted by likely to sell and likely to pencil, among all 4,145 homes scoredAll 4,145 homes scored, as faint chips: the darker a chip, the more homes share its scores.The sweet spot: the top 3% of all 4,145 homes scored, by likely to sell × likely to pencil.The sweet spot07: 4646 Imaginary Pl, likely to sell 35, likely to pencil 55706: 3347 Hypothetical Ter, likely to sell 40, likely to pencil 60605: 2048 Stand-In Dr, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 55504: 2374 Placeholder Ln, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 60403: 1075 Fictional Ave, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 65302: 102 Example Rd, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 70201: 1401 Sample Ct, likely to sell 75, likely to pencil 651
Each dot is a target, numbered as the cards are; the faint chips behind them, every home scored that week. All 7 are in the sweet spot, the top 3% of all homes scored. Higher and further right is better: more likely to sell and more likely to pencil.
  1. 01

    1401 Sample Ct

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 2 ba · 1,600 sq ft · Built 1965 · Pool

    Likely to sell 75 of 100, likely to pencil 65 of 100

    Roof is 2019, so the money goes inside. Keep countable work under $110k and it stays a renovation.

    What’s been updated: No kitchen/bath remodel on record · Roof 2019

    Max offer$354,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$318k

    As-is $325–370k · Max offer $29k above the low end

    Rehab
    $78–118k
    ARV
    $622k
    Profit at max offer
    $63k
    • 50% rule: 50% rule · 95% used
    • Likely to sell: Owned by an estate (2026 tax roll)
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $354,000 is 103% of the as-is midpoint ($345,000)

    Likely to sell 75 · Likely to pencil 65Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  2. 02

    102 Example Rd

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 2 ba · 1,980 sq ft · Built 1963 · Pool

    Likely to sell 45 of 100, likely to pencil 70 of 100

    The roof permit expired before final. Price a new roof in, and close the old permit before you list.

    Max offer$463,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$418k

    As-is $420–475k · Max offer $43k above the low end

    Rehab
    $103–153k
    ARV
    $810k
    Profit at max offer
    $82k
    • 50% rule: Zone X · no 50% rule
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $463,000 is 104% of the as-is midpoint ($445,000)
    • Likely to pencil: Built 1963 and barely updated since (county condition year 1970)

    Likely to sell 45 · Likely to pencil 70Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  3. 03

    1075 Fictional Ave

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,450 sq ft · Built 1958

    Likely to sell 45 of 100, likely to pencil 65 of 100

    1958 3/1.5 in original condition, with a code case since Aug 20 and a 38-year hold. Cosmetic rehab fits under the flood cap; comps support $580k.

    Max offer$376,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$349k

    As-is $335–380k · Max offer $41k above the low end

    Rehab
    $38–58.5k
    ARV
    $580k
    Profit at max offer
    $58k
    • 50% rule: 50% rule · 57% used
    • Rental
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $376,000 is 106% of the as-is midpoint ($355,000)
    • Likely to pencil: Built 1958 and barely updated since (county condition year 1963)

    Likely to sell 45 · Likely to pencil 65Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  4. 04

    2374 Placeholder Ln

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,140 sq ft · Built 1966 · Pool · Waterfront

    Likely to sell 45 of 100, likely to pencil 60 of 100

    On a canal with a pool, under a million after the work. The seawall letter comes before the offer.

    Max offer$571,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$523k

    As-is $555–630k · Max offer $16k above the low end

    Rehab
    $102–155k
    ARV
    $953k
    Profit at max offer
    $97k
    • 50% rule: 50% rule · 87% used
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $571,000 is 97% of the as-is midpoint ($590,000)
    • Likely to pencil: Built 1966 and barely updated since (county condition year 1974)

    Likely to sell 45 · Likely to pencil 60Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  5. 05

    2048 Stand-In Dr

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 2 ba · 1,690 sq ft · Built 1968 · Pool

    Likely to sell 45 of 100, likely to pencil 55 of 100

    Trust-owned 1968 3/2, with a code case since Sep 9 and a 22-year hold. Cosmetic rehab, and no flood cap in Zone X; comps support $695k.

    Max offer$481,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$441k

    As-is $420–475k · Max offer $6k above the as-is range

    Rehab
    $34–51k
    ARV
    $695k
    Profit at max offer
    $72k
    • 50% rule: Zone X · no 50% rule
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $481,000 is 108% of the as-is midpoint ($445,000)
    • Likely to sell: Code case opened Sep 9, 2026: pool enclosure screens down

    Likely to sell 45 · Likely to pencil 55Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  6. 06

    3347 Hypothetical Ter

    Fort Lauderdale

    2 bd · 1 ba · 1,240 sq ft · Built 1954

    Likely to sell 40 of 100, likely to pencil 60 of 100

    Trust-owned 1954 2/1 in original condition, with a code case since Jun 19. Mid-level rehab, and no flood cap in Zone X; comps support $524k.

    Max offer$289,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$259k

    As-is $255–290k · Max offer $34k above the low end

    Rehab
    $70–105k
    ARV
    $524k
    Profit at max offer
    $53k
    • 50% rule: Zone X · no 50% rule
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $289,000 is 107% of the as-is midpoint ($270,000)
    • Likely to pencil: Built 1954 and barely updated since (county condition year 1958)

    Likely to sell 40 · Likely to pencil 60Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

  7. 07

    4646 Imaginary Pl

    Fort Lauderdale

    3 bd · 2 ba · 1,760 sq ft · Built 1961 · Pool

    Likely to sell 35 of 100, likely to pencil 55 of 100

    Impact windows are done. Budget to legalize or undo the garage conversion before you list.

    What’s been updated: Kitchen/baths 1995 · No re-roof on record

    Max offer$476,000

    Worst-case max If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.$441k

    As-is $420–475k · Max offer $1k above the as-is range

    Rehab
    $49–75k
    ARV
    $729k
    Profit at max offer
    $74k
    • 50% rule: Zone X · no 50% rule
    • Rental
    • Likely to pencil: Max offer $476,000 is 107% of the as-is midpoint ($445,000)
    • Likely to pencil: Built 1961 and barely updated since (county condition year 1969)

    Likely to sell 35 · Likely to pencil 55Each out of 100. A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.

See the week on one chart
A sample week's 7 targets in Fort Lauderdale North, plotted by likely to sell and likely to pencil, among all 4,145 homes scoredAll 4,145 homes scored, as faint chips: the darker a chip, the more homes share its scores.The sweet spot: the top 3% of all 4,145 homes scored, by likely to sell × likely to pencil.The sweet spot07: 4646 Imaginary Pl, likely to sell 35, likely to pencil 55706: 3347 Hypothetical Ter, likely to sell 40, likely to pencil 60605: 2048 Stand-In Dr, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 55504: 2374 Placeholder Ln, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 60403: 1075 Fictional Ave, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 65302: 102 Example Rd, likely to sell 45, likely to pencil 70201: 1401 Sample Ct, likely to sell 75, likely to pencil 651
Each dot is a target, numbered as the cards are; the faint chips behind them, every home scored that week. All 7 are in the sweet spot, the top 3% of all homes scored. Higher and further right is better: more likely to sell and more likely to pencil.

The deal sheet Sample

Every card opens a full deal sheet. Here’s one.

Max offer, rehab budget, comps, permits, the flood check and the owner’s mailing address, with every source dated. This one is fictional from top to bottom; seat holders also see the address and the owner.

Fort Lauderdale North · Sample sheetSample

Street number withheld Street withheld

3 bd · 2 ba · 1,550 sq ft · 8,000 sq ft lot · Built 1962 · Pool

Held 38 years and barely touched. The roof goes first; after that it's kitchen, baths and floors.

Our take

Max offer

$343,000

Worst-case max $305k · 70% rule $315k

As-is $315–360k · Max offer $28k above the low end

Likely to sell 65 of 100, likely to pencil 65 of 100
Likely to sell
65/100
Likely to pencil A score from dated public-record signals, not a probability.
65/100

Why it’s here

  • Likely to sell: Owned by an estate
  • Likely to pencil: Max offer near value
  • Likely to pencil: Original condition
  • Likely to sell: Code case

Condition from the record: Mostly originalFrom permits on record. Work done without permits won’t show.

The numbers

How the ARV of $615,000 becomes a max offer of $343,000.
  1. ARVmedian of renovated comps
    $615,000
  2. Sellingcommission, deed stamps, concessions, fees
    −$42,705
  3. Rehab (investor rates)with 15% contingency
    −$115,287
  4. Buyingowner's title, closing, inspections, loan taxes
    −$7,497
  5. Financing1.5 points and 10% interest, 8 months
    −$32,284
  6. Holding8 months of taxes, insurance, utilities
    −$12,707
  7. Your profit10% of ARV, at least $30k
    −$61,520
  8. Max offer
    $343,000
Worst-case max
$305,000
If ARV lands at the low end of the comps, rehab runs 15% over and it takes 12 months to sell.
70% rule, for reference
$315,212
70% of the ARV, less the rehab. A rule of thumb, not our number.
At licensed-contractor rates
$300,000
The same offer with the rehab priced at licensed-contractor rates ($75/sq ft for this scope) instead of an investor crew.
As-is range
$315–360k
Max offer $28k above the low end.
After-repair value (ARV)$606–615k
Conservative ARV, used for the offer
$608,000
Median of the comps
$615,000
Range of the estimate
$606–615k
Comps, each sized to this house
5

5 renovated resales (within 1 mi), sold in the last 18 months (Aug 2025 to Jun 2026), living area within 20%; radius 1 mi, 18 months. $/sq ft moved to Sep 2026 on Broward's single-family trend (-0.9% a year, capped at 10%) and scaled to 1,550 sq ft; P25-P75; the max offer uses the median, the worst case the conservative P25-P40. An automated estimate, not an appraisal.

Renovated comps · nearest first

Renovated comps, nearest first
CompSoldPriceSq ft$/sq ftDistance
3 Sample WayWhy renovated: Resale recorded as remodeled after purchase in the sales records; bought $380k Aug 2025May 2026$605,0001,510$4010.2 mi
1 Sample WayWhy renovated: Alteration permit finaled Dec 2025; bought $392k May 2025Feb 2026$588,0001,480$3970.3 mi
2 Sample WayWhy renovated: Kitchen and bath permits finaled Sep 2025; bought $415k Feb 2025Nov 2025$640,0001,620$3950.5 mi
5 Sample WayWhy renovated: Alteration and re-roof permits finaled Apr 2026; bought $405k Oct 2025Jun 2026$668,0001,560$4280.6 mi
4 Sample WayWhy renovated: Alteration permit finaled Jun 2025; bought $430k Dec 2024Aug 2025$655,0001,700$3850.8 mi

Rehab

Kitchen and baths

Expected cost $100,250

$80.5–120klow to high
The rehab budget, row by row
ItemWhyCost
Base scope$40–60/sq ft × 1,550 sq ft$62,000–93,000
RoofRoof permit 2003, near the end of its life$14,000–20,000
Pool resurfacingGreen pool and a cracked shell in the 2025 aerial$4,500–7,000
TotalBase scope plus the rows above$80,500–120,000

The offer carries $115,287: the expected $100,250 plus 15% contingency. $108,700 of that counts toward the flood cap.

Flood and the 50% rule

50% rule: Amber · 89% usedZone AE · base flood elevation 7 ft

The planned rehab uses 89% of the flood cap: $12,800 of room.

Amber: fits at midpoint; over the cap at the top of the range ($131,413).

AmberCap
Countable work, expected
$108,700
At the top of the range
$131,413108% of the cap
Room under the cap
$12,800
Flood cap (50% of the building value)
$121,500range $114–131k
Building value (county, adjusted to market)
$228–262k
Who decides
City of Fort Lauderdale, at permit

Pool resurfacing doesn't count toward the cap; the kitchen, baths and roof do. The city makes the call at permit.

Owner of record

Name
withheld
Send mail to
withheld
Held
withheld

Permits

  1. FinaledResidential alterationSAMPLE-88-0415

    Screen enclosure

    Applied Jun 2, 1988 · Issued Jun 20, 1988 · Finaled Sep 12, 1988

  2. FinaledRe-roofSAMPLE-03-1122

    Re-roof, shingle

    Applied Mar 10, 2003 · Issued Mar 24, 2003 · Finaled May 2, 2003 · Job value $9,800

Before you offer

  1. Order a lien and permit search. The code case from Jul 21, 2026 can carry fines that attach to the house.
  2. Ask the seller for the elevation certificate (Zone AE, base flood elevation 7 ft), or order one, and get a flood insurance quote.
  3. Check your scope with Fort Lauderdale before you commit: the city applies the 50% rule with its own building value.
  4. Roof (roof permit 2003, near the end of its life): get a roof and four-point inspection. Insurers price on roof age.
  5. Estate: confirm the personal representative can sign. The probate case names them.
  6. If it’s listed, deal through the listing agent.

Aerials

Aerial of the sample home (an illustration) in 2019
Drag the line, or use the arrow keys: 2019 on the left, 2025 on the right.Imagery: Illustration, 2019 / 2025

A drawing stands in on the sample. Real sheets show the home in aerial imagery, before and after.

Sources

  • City permit recordsas of Sep 28, 2026
  • Code enforcement recordsas of Sep 25, 2026
  • County property recordsas of Sep 21, 2026
  • Federal flood mapsas of Sep 20, 2026
  • Sales recordsas of Jul 27, 2026
  • Aerial imageryas of May 15, 2025
  1. Two scores, not adjectives.

    Likely to sell and likely to pencil, each out of 100 and each built from dated, sourced reasons. The best targets score high on both.

  2. What to pay, and what still works if it goes wrong.

    A full Florida cost stack from the median of renovated comps, with a worst-case max, the as-is range and the 70% rule beside it.

  3. The 50% rule, checked on every target.

    The rehab against the flood 50% cap: green, amber or red, with the room in dollars.

  4. Who to write to.

    The owner of record and where the mail goes, years held and the last sale, with the outreach rules beside them.

In your inbox

The same Short List, as it lands.

Tuesday at 7am, one email per area, before the first showing.

  • The week in three numbers.
  • Every target in order: max offer, rehab, flood check, and the dated reasons it made the list.
  • A tap to each deal sheet. Owner names and addresses stay there, behind your sign-in.

From TerrazzoTuesday, 7:00 AM

Subject: Fort Lauderdale North · 7 targets, max offers $289–571k · Your Short List

Four sit outside the flood zone and two are close to the flood cap. Max offers run $289k to $571k. First up: Fort Lauderdale · 3/2 with pool, $354k.

Made-up homes, in the email every seat gets. Scroll it to read all seven.

A sample Short List from Terrazzo. The homes, owners and streets are made up. Estimates, not appraisals.

Be one of three in your area.

15 seats left, in five areas with room. Seats open October 15.